Back Or Lay Picks 29th-31st Aug

What started off quite well has turned into a bit of a nightmare the past two weeks. The Back Or Lay picks are currently sitting nearly 10pts down. Not a comfortable position to be in but this is a marathon not a sprint so onwards and upwards (hopefully)...

TOTTENHAM
PORTSMOUTH
SHREWSBURY
HAMILTON
HEARTS
BOREHAM WD
IFK MARIEH

These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Pick 26th Aug

Off to the second round of the Capitol One Cup for the midweek selections. Thankfully only one which hopefully a blessing in disguise after the shocking weekend.

BRENTFORD

These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Picks 22nd-24th Aug

Another large selection for this weekend so I suspect these might cancel each other out as they did last weekend. I expect these lists to reduce in size a little once form settles down a bit.

ALMERIA
LYON
NANTES
ST ETIENN
COLOGNE
ASTON VLLA
CHELSEA
HULL
SWANSEA
DERBY
MILLWALL
PRESTON
SWINDON
AFC WIMBLN
DUNDEE UTD
RANGERS
MAIDENHEAD
ODD GRENLA

These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Picks 19th-20th Aug

The weekend turned out to be a bit of a non-event despite the large number of selections. A 0.7pt loss so no harm done.

The mid-week selections are a little more manageable with a handful of selections from south of the border.

CARDIFF
WALSALL
BURTON
CHELTENHAM
SHREWSBURY


These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Picks 15th-17th Aug

After a 17 long list gave a small profit midweek I find an even longer list for this weekend. Here's hoping for a little more consistency. Note that the first two are on tonight, Fri 15th.

FALKIRK
CAEN
BOURNEMTH
BURTON
MORECAMBE
WYCOMBE
BRAINTREE
FOREST G.
HALIFAX
TORQUAY
BARROW
N. FERRIBY
STALYBRDGE
TAMWORTH
EBBSFLEET
RENNES
IF ELFSBOR
BORDEAUX
MARSEILLE
ST ETIENN
VIKING


These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Picks 12th-14th Aug

Apologies for posting this with only an hour to go before many of these kick off. A combination of the longest list I think I've come across and me being late in from work.

As you can see, most of these are from the lower leagues and the first round of the Capital One Cup. Consequently, there's probably very little in the way of trading opportunities here as liquidity will be terrible, assuming the matches even go in play. As always though, I'll be recording these as straight punts.

BARNET
FOREST G.
GRIMSBY
HALIFAX
KIDDERMINS
WOKING
GUISELEY
N. FERRIBY
BROMLEY
STAINES
BLACKBURN
BRISTOL C.
SHEFF. WED
KILMARNOCK
PARTICK
SHEFF. UTD
LAHTI


These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Too Many Distractions

As any house owner will tell you, there's always something needing fixed, decorated, extended, constructed, cleaned or replaced. Maintenance is an ongoing process which, if done in a timely manner, will ensure everything is kept in its optimum condition without costing the earth.

The trouble is this takes a significant amount of time and it is very easy to get distracted. Trading is one of those distractions and with so much sport on the opportunities come thick and fast. It's all too easy to neglect the gardening in order to spend some time with the horses.

As long term readers of this blog will know, trading is a hobby for me. I have never had or will have any desire to do this full time in a professional capacity. Quite frankly, I find it rather boring at times and I doff my cap to those who have managed to make a career out of trading. So, like house maintenance, I also find it pretty easy to get distracted from trading which is why you may find a flurry of videos being uploaded then nothing for ages.

Does this mean I then get it on with the house maintenance? Hell no! As I have so many other interests there will always be something I'd rather be doing than weeding the garden.

For example, as a long term hifi enthusiast I've wanted to built my own amplifier for years but never had the opportunity or the facilities to do so. That's not the case anymore and hopefully will change fairly soon though I'll need to spend some some time getting myself back up to speed with amplifier design. It's been a while.

Similarly, last week I finally got around to buying a Raspberry Pi with the express intention of streaming music from my server through my hifi. Something I'm listening to as I type and it is working beautifully with the whole set up costing less than £50.

I have a friend whose husband spent thousands on a Linn system that does the same thing and which has given them much grief over the years. Having said that, it is working much better now that I've sorted their home network which was installed by the Linn system supplier - a case of a little knowledge is a dangerous thing.

To cut a long story short, if you don't see any significant activity here, on Twitter or over on the Youtube channel it will be a fair bet I've been distracted.

Back Or Lay Picks 8th-10th Aug

The start of a new season and another year of back or lay picks.

As I've mentioned in the past, I'll be recording these as straight punts though they do lend themselves to a spot of trading - particularly the lays which are, in my opinion are generally too low and therefore not value from a backing point of view.

For the sake of consistency, the results are recorded based on the odds at the start of play as published on the BetExplorer site.

So, on to this opening weekend...

A couple of matches from Scandinavia but these should fall away soon as the main European leagues come on stream.

DUNDEE
MOLDE
LAHTI

These picks should be backed if decimal odds at KO are 2.00 or over.
They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.

Back Or Lay Performance For Aug 2013 - Jul 2014

That's a year come and gone and a new one about to start so time to post a quick summary of the return for the back or lay picks that I've made available on the blog as well as Twitter.

The graph below shows the cummulative P&L over the year from a standing start of £0. Each bet placed had a liability of £10 and despite showing a poor run mid-season it recovered well to give an ROI of 14.7%

These picks are often good trading material. I don't have records for those as I simply didn't record them. I was too often unable to sit around trading them or they involved selections where the markets had very little money available. You are more than welcome to trade them but I'll keep recording them as straight bets.


With a new season about to start, it's time to reset the counters and do it all over again.

As usual the picks will be posted on the Bet Your Life Sports Trading blog and I'll endeavour to mention on Twitter when they are available.

Back Or Lay Picks For 2nd-3rd Aug

Not long to wait for the start of the domestic and major European leagues and consequently more selections. In the meantime, it's off to Norway again for a solitary pick for this weekend...

AALESUND

These picks should be backed if you can get decimal odds of 2.00 or over. They should be laid if their odds are at 1.90 or under.